Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000175 0.000194 0.000215 0.000239 0.000265 0.000294 0.000329
2025-05-04 0.000139 0.000166 0.000197 0.000237 0.000286 0.000345 0.000422
2025-05-11 0.000118 0.000149 0.000188 0.000239 0.000308 0.000396 0.000519
2025-05-18 0.000103 0.000135 0.000178 0.000238 0.000322 0.000436 0.000608
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000124 0.000169 0.000236 0.000334 0.000474 0.000696
2025-06-01 0.000081 0.000115 0.000161 0.000233 0.000342 0.000507 0.000781
2025-06-08 0.000072 0.000104 0.000151 0.000225 0.000342 0.000525 0.000844
2025-06-15 0.000067 0.000100 0.000148 0.000227 0.000358 0.000571 0.000958
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000096 0.000147 0.000232 0.000377 0.000623 0.001092
2025-06-29 0.000058 0.000090 0.000140 0.000227 0.000380 0.000647 0.001177
2025-07-06 0.000052 0.000083 0.000131 0.000217 0.000372 0.000652 0.001226
2025-07-13 0.000049 0.000079 0.000129 0.000218 0.000384 0.000693 0.001351
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000077 0.000128 0.000222 0.000404 0.000754 0.001533
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000073 0.000124 0.000221 0.000413 0.000797 0.001685
2025-08-03 0.000042 0.000071 0.000122 0.000223 0.000429 0.000855 0.001884
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000068 0.000119 0.000222 0.000437 0.000898 0.002056
2025-08-17 0.000037 0.000064 0.000115 0.000220 0.000445 0.000942 0.002238
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000061 0.000111 0.000217 0.000450 0.000978 0.002409
2025-08-31 0.000032 0.000057 0.000106 0.000210 0.000443 0.000988 0.002512
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000056 0.000105 0.000212 0.000460 0.001056 0.002789
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000217 0.000481 0.001139 0.003129
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000052 0.000101 0.000212 0.000481 0.001165 0.003306
2025-09-28 0.000026 0.000049 0.000095 0.000203 0.000468 0.001157 0.003373